Monday, August 15, 2011

75% Retrace in a Bull Market giving very Positive Risk/Reward - Trade for the Long Pull as an Outside Speculator

2008-9 was the 6 year low.
2009 a 60 year generational low (like 1949)
Late 2010 was the 4 year low.
Late 2011 will be a 9 year low.


The 4 year, 6 year, and 9 year cycles are not due to top before Spring 2013 and both have a long way to go on the upside with an SPX target in 2-3 years of 1750-2250.

75% Retrace off the 2010 4 year low is SPX 1104 +/-

Bulls now risking only 80 points to make 650-1150 points.




4 Comments:

Anonymous Anonymous said...

Any potential impact through October and the following period?
Carl Johan Calleman - "The beginning of the Fourth night of the Ninth Wave of the Mayan calendar system":
http://www.calleman.com/content/articles/Beginning_4thNight_9thWave.htm

Noted a few good analysts potentially looking for SPX 940's or possibly lower prior to the end of the year/early next to complete technical patterns, the 9 year low, and/or time periods associated with George Lindsay's work.

It is much easier for me to make money in a bull market but I do have my concerns that George Lindsay's bear phase periods and Hurst cycles may interupt the bull party until later this year or possibly next year.

12:59 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Hello Dave,
The same question as I left for you in last post, but different wording.
Is a bearish key date when down move starts or ends?
Thank you
Eddie

2:43 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

The spiral calendar window for mid-August appears to have been timely.

11:33 AM  
Blogger fiona said...

http://carlfutia.blogspot.com/

4:07 PM  

Post a Comment

Subscribe to Post Comments [Atom]

<< Home